Predicting Academy Awards winners is often a fruitless endeavor. There’s so much politics in play (“he/she didn’t win when he/she should have fifteen years ago, so why not now!”), but it’s still a fun game. I’ve never formally put my predictions out, but with multiple contenders in many categories, why not? With that said, here’s who should win and who will win for the major categories in my Oscars 2015 predictions.
The thought of the Academy turning a blind eye to a film twelve years in the making seems unthinkable. Boyhood is the greatest coming-of-age story ever told, but that doesn’t make it the best of the year. That honor for me goes to Birdman, a visionary, biting dramedy that shows us things we’ve never seen before.
Actor in a Leading Role
This is easily the closest of the Actor awards, and appears to be a toss-up between Redmayne and Keaton. I just have a feeling Redmayne will win as there’s nothing the Academy loves more than a great biopic performance. Keaton should win, not because it is a “comeback” of sorts for him, but because he was absolutely amazing and showed incredible range in Birdman. Quick mention of David Oyelowo, whose spot looks to have been stolen by Bradley Cooper. That he’s not in the mix either verifies the strength of lead actors this year, or reeks of gross oversight. I’ll go with the latter.
Actress in a Leading Role
Not much of a conversation here. Still Alice isn’t a terribly original piece of work, but it’s supremely acted by Moore in the performance of her career. She’s won just about every award leading up to this, and that won’t change on Oscar night.
Actor in a Supporting Role
Again, this is foregone. And they’ll get it right. You don’t cross Terence Fletcher. Winning is his first and only tempo.
Actress in a Supporting Role
Ah, the Meryl Streep category. It seems like a lock that Patricia Arquette takes home this piece of hardware. While I believe she gives the best performance in the category, this just doesn’t feel like a strong year for supporting actresses.